# Research experience

https://ikashnitsky.github.io/me

https://www.r-bloggers.com/author/ilya-kashnitsky/

https://ikashnitsky.github.io/dem-digest/

# 4 papers

• DEM: demographic factors affecting convergence/divergence in ageing
• ECON: relationship between convergence/divergence in ageing and convergence/divergence in economies
• URBRUR: urban/rural differences in regional convergence/divergence in ageing
• ???

# DATA

EU-27
NUTS-2 (261)
2003-2012

• Eurostat (population structures; mortality)
• European Regional Database (Cambridge Econometrics)

# Decomposition of regional convergence in population ageing across Europe

• Presented at European Population Conference, September 2016
• Under second revision in Genus

# Decomposition

1 step

$TSR_2 - TSR_1 = \frac{W_2}{NW_2} - \frac{W_1}{NW_1} =$

$= [\frac{1}{2} * (W_2 + W_1) * (\frac{1}{NW_2} - \frac{1}{NW_1})] + [\frac{1}{2} * (\frac{1}{NW_2} + \frac{1}{NW_1}) * (W_2 - W_1)]$

2 step

$W_2 = W_1 + CT + M_W - D_W$

# Economic convergence in ageing Europe

• Presented at Regional Studies Conference, April 2016
• Presented at Third Russian Economic Congress, December 2016
• Under first revision in Journal of Demographic Economics

# Theoretical relationship

• Convergence/divergence in ageing
• Convergence/divergence in economies

# Analytical strategy

Decomposition of GDP growth

$\frac{GDP_2/P_2}{GDP_1/P_1} = \frac{GDP_2/W_2}{GDP_1/W_1} * \frac{W_2/P_2}{W_1/P_1}$

$\frac{GDP_2/P_2}{GDP_1/P_1} = \frac{GDP_2/W_2}{GDP_1/W_1} * \frac{W_2/P_2}{W_1/P_1}$

Counterfactual analysis

• Convergence/divergence in economies with no change in population structures
• Additional effect of changes in population structures

# Urbanization and regional difference in ageing in Europe

• Presented at Dutch Demography Day, November 2016
• To be presented at Belgian Demography Day, March 2017
• To be submitted in May 2017